Risk Alert

Risk Alert

The Risk Alert is a weekly two-page analysis of emerging political and economic risks. It provides guidance on how topical events, both locally and globally, will influence South Africa’s business and investment environment. The Risk Alert, presented in both PDF and audio formats, is published every Monday morning, — helping CRA clients to begin each week armed with the latest analysis of key events.

Risk Alert | The harshest winter

22 May 2023 - In this week's exclusive client Risk Alert, we unpack what South Africans can expect regarding the intensity of loadshedding, and some of the possible negative effects of the amended Employment Equity Act.

Publication description

We also share an update on South Africa’s economic outlook, along with the continued decline in business confidence in the government.

We then close with a look at the rising debt burden that various emerging market countries are being forced to grapple with.

Risk Alert | SA’s rising risk premium

15 May 2023 - In this week's exclusive client Risk Alert, we discuss the state of South Africa’s mining sector.

Publication description

We also turn to the new records being set in South Africa’s loadshedding saga, and news that Germany is planning to introduce mildly similar measures from next year.

We then close with a look at Turkey’s election.

Risk Alert | Lights out in Johannesburg

08 May 2023 - In this week's exclusive client Risk Alert, we take a deep dive into the state of City Power in Johannesburg.

Publication description

We then look at the confidence sentiment amongst small businesses, before turning to the impact of loadshedding on mass retailers.

We close with the latest on South Africa’s foreign policy quagmire, and the possibility of a debt default on the part of the United States government.

Risk Alert | Coalition blues

02 May 2023 - In this week's exclusive client Risk Alert, we look at the latest political developments in Gauteng and the infrastructure problems in the Nelson Mandela Bay metro.

Publication description

We then discuss the latest gaffe from the Ramaphosa administration and its implications for the South Africa-United States trade relationship.

We close with an overview of the volatile situation in Sudan.

Risk Alert | The embattled consumer

24 April 2023 - In this week's exclusive client Risk Alert, we examine the impact of inflation and interest rates on the South African consumer.

Publication description

We turn to the growing frustration with the government emanating from South Africa’s boardrooms, and President Cyril Ramaphosa’s ongoing vacillation on ministerial powers and responsibilities.

We close with a look at the global implications of South Africa’s stance on Russia, as well as recent European developments in the area of nuclear power generation.

Risk Alert | Highway to hell

17 April 2023 - In this week's exclusive client Risk Alert, we analyse reports of a possible national shutdown by truck drivers planned for 30 April, before turning to South Africa’s latest manufacturing data.

Publication description

We then examine the possible implication of the signing into law of the Employment Equity Amendment Act, as well as takeaways from the latest South African Investment Conference.

We close with a brief look at the latest global growth forecast from the International Monetary Fund.