Risk Alert

Risk Alert

The Risk Alert is a weekly two-page analysis of emerging political and economic risks. It provides guidance on how topical events, both locally and globally, will influence South Africa’s business and investment environment. The Risk Alert, presented in both PDF and audio formats, is published every Monday morning, — helping CRA clients to begin each week armed with the latest analysis of key events.

Risk Alert | Whither the ANC?

17 January 2022 - In this week's exclusive client Risk Alert, John Endres and Bheki Mahlobo discuss the waning fortunes of the African National Congress (ANC).

Publication description

Can the ANC survive the growing threats to its power from both the left and the right, they ask?

Endres and Mahlobo also examine South Africa’s declining manufacturing output amidst ongoing supply chain and electricity constraints.

Risk Alert | Does Zondo mark a turning point?

10 January 2022 - In this week's exclusive client Risk Alert, John Endres and Simpe Jonas explore the implications of the Zondo Commission’s recently-released report on state capture.

Publication description

Will the publication of the report lead to prosecutions and convictions of senior ANC politicians, they ask?

Endres and Jonas also examine the fallout from the fire that caused major damage to the Parliamentary Precinct on 2 January.

Risk Alert | The biggest risks facing SA and the world in 2022

13 December 2021 - In this week's exclusive client Risk Alert, John Endres and Bheki Mahlobo look back on the trends and events that shaped South Africa and the world in 2021.

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Risk Alert | Lost jobs aren’t coming back

6 December 2021 - In this week's exclusive client Risk Alert, John Endres and Bheki Mahlobo discuss the latest South African jobs data, before turning to international politics, where rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine portend even higher energy prices.

Publication description

Is there a housing bubble in developed economies, and what will cause it to pop, they ask?

Endres and Mahlobo conclude with the CRA’s latest analysis of the Covid-19 Omicron variant.

Risk Alert | How serious is Omicron?

29 November 2021 - In this week's exclusive client Risk Alert, John Endres and Bheki Mahlobo discuss the impact on global markets of a new fast-spreading variant of the coronavirus, recently discovered in South Africa.

Publication description

How serious is the Omicron strain, they ask?

Endres and Mahlobo also examine the low level of business confidence in SA, and unpack the reasons why the ANC is unable to deal with corruption in its own ranks. 

Risk Alert | The spectre of inflation

22 November 2021 - In this week's exclusive client Risk Alert, John Endres and Bheki Mahlobo flag the spectre of inflation currently haunting Europe and America.

Publication description

How will the South African Reserve Bank’s decision last week to hike interest rates by 25 basis points affect the demand for credit and the performance of the Rand, they ask?

Endres and Mahlobo also discuss the lack of cohesion amongst South Africa’s various opposition parties as they struggle to form coalitions in the country’s major cities.