Risk Alert

The Risk Alert is a weekly two-page analysis of emerging political and economic risks. It provides guidance on how topical events, both locally and globally, will influence South Africa’s business and investment environment. The Risk Alert, presented in both PDF and audio formats, is published every Monday morning, — helping CRA clients to begin each week armed with the latest analysis of key events.

Risk Alert | The growing importance of KZN

16 August 2021 - In this week's exclusive client Risk Alert, John Endres and Bheki Mahlobo discuss the growing importance of KwaZulu-Natal in South African politics.

Publication description

Will KZN swing the next national election, they ask?

Endres and Mahlobo also explore the threat to constitutional democracy of a possible postponement of the local government elections.

Risk Alert | Old cards, reshuffled

9 August 2021 - In this week's exclusive client Risk Alert, John Endres and Simpe Jonas discuss last week’s changes to President Cyril Ramaphosa’s Cabinet, and what the reshuffle suggests about the policy direction of the government.

Publication description

Endres and Jonas also assess the risk of a ‘slow motion coup’ in SA in the form of a delay to the local government elections, as well as the continued vulnerability of state-owned enterprises to cyberattacks.

Risk Alert | China’s attack on Big Tech: implications for SA

2 August 2021 - In this week's exclusive client Risk Alert, John Endres and Simpe Jonas discuss the significance of China’s crackdown on technology companies.

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Risk Alert | SA’s shifting paradigms

26 July 2021 - In this week's exclusive client Risk Alert, Frans Cronje and Bheki Mahlobo assess the sustainability of South Africa as a unitary state.

Publication description

As governance continues to deteriorate, what new paradigms might emerge in the future, they ask?

Cronje and Mahlobo also highlight the ongoing risks of Expropriation Without Compensation, the weakness of the state security services, and a potential delay to the local government elections.

Risk Alert | Don't believe the conspiracy theories

19 July 2021 - In this week's exclusive client Risk Alert, Frans Cronje and Bheki Mahlobo debunk the various conspiracy theories surrounding the causes of last week’s riots and looting.

Publication description

What were the real reasons for the outbreak of violence, they ask?

Cronje and Mahlobo also offer an analysis of how the crisis will play out over the short-, medium- and long-term.

Risk Alert | Violent protests and anarchy in SA

12 July 2021 - In this special edition Risk Alert, Frans Cronje analyses the wave of violent protests and anarchy currently sweeping through South Africa. Cronje explores the origins of the violence and the state's inability to enforce law and order in the country.

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